Don't Mess Up In Here...!
A: If you are a new seller, 4 weeks or less, then this post is for you. Fact is, if you take a step back and in hindsight look at the traffic patterns of any given exclusive, a pattern becomes clear. That pattern is sometimes the difference of tens of thousands of dollars in the end; IT WAS FOR ME! Originally Published October 23, 2006
Unless the apartment is aggressively priced, most of the activity will happen in the first 2 weeks and in the final 3-4 weeks (due to price cuts).
THE FIRST 2 WEEKS (The 'Should Have' Period)
I like to call the first two weeks of every exclusive the 'should have' period. The first 2 weeks is the period of time where you get a bunch of appointments scheduled from 'B' buyers who are trying to learn the inventory of their price point and their agents who just want to do a deal already. Maybe you'll get a few 'A' buyers too. Most likely, you'll get a low ball bid. Many times this very early bid is the nightmare for sellers 5 months later. So, I refer to it from the seller's point of view as the, "I should have accepted that bid and saved 5 months of agony".
It makes me think of that scene in Casino where Joe Pesci stares down DiNero as he goes to pick up his wife, Sharon Stone, at Pesci's restaurant. You know that scene, where Pesci snears, "Hey! Don't Mess Up In Here...!"...

(not the scene but has that same look)
In Hindsight, every financial decision is 20/20; including whether or not YOU, THE SELLER should accept that offer.
It is during the first two-three weeks of listing your property that you will get the most interest and if lucky, an offer. The offer will not be high but will be very close, the same, or most likely HIGHER than what you eventually accept down the road after multiple price cuts!I SAY TO YOU, THE SELLER, DON'T MESS UP IN HERE! And if you do mess up and ignore the offer because there is so much activity and you won't sell below a certain price in the first 4 weeks, to NOT blame it on your broker for failing to move your property at the highest & best price possible down the road.
MY STORY: When I had my condo on the market at Astor Terrace, I showed you the work I did and how I was going to market it, I got the most activity during the first 3 weeks. Every open house was packed and I was thinking JACKPOT! I even got a bid. I was asking $1,075,000 (much higher than I knew it would sell for but it was my home, and my home is worth what I say...yea right!) and got a bid of $950K. I shrugged it away without a response and played hardball. Yea, real smart.
Four months later I found myself $6,000 into weekly NY Times advertising and other marketing expenses, tired, worried, and 2 price cuts down to $975,000. Traffic dried up and I was getting very nervous. HOW COULD I HAVE DISREGARDED THAT OFFER! Nights became sleepless and bills seemed threatening to my financial well being.
I winded up accepting a $935,000 one time take it or leave it bid, up from $925,000 orginially. It was all cash and 'looking to close within a month' that made the offer a no-brainer for me. But the mistake was made and the lesson was learned.
THE LESSON: Think about any bid that you receive in the first two to three weeks! Think about even if it is well below your asking price. If you decide NOT to accept a low offer in the first 3 weeks, than be prepared to possibly have your apartment on the market for the next few months! I'll explain why right now.
3rd TO 16th WEEK OF YOUR LISTING
During weeks 3 to 16th of your listing, assuming your property was on the market for 4 months or more, your traffic is pretty much the same; SLOW. The broker is showing the apartment 1-2 times a week, and you are having 2-4 people per open house. Not a good sign. The listing seems to have staled up, and feelings of nervousness fill both the agent and the seller as thoughts of 'problems with marketing' begin to arise. I usually hear questions like, "Why are'nt you showing the apartment more often?", or "The ad in the NY Times wasn't big enough", and the best one, "I want this place SOLD, so get to work and SELL IT!". Yea, ok.
You know what I think at this point? I hate to be the bearer of bad news but if you had 30 buyers through your property with no bid submitted, than your asking price is too high and needs to come down to reality; i.e. YOU HAVE TO WAKE UP!
I've said this over and over here on UrbanDigs: YOUR HOME IS WORTH ONLY WHAT SOMEONE IS WILLING TO PAY FOR IT
It doesn't matter that you are so close to the subway station, or that you have brand new stainless steel appliances, or even that you have a terrace (cause I had a sick one!). It only matters what a buyer will bid for it and whether or not you HAVE TO sell it right now. The problem is that as a seller, you get emotional and ONLY look at the positive attributes of your property when you price it and review offers! The solution should be to be as unbiased a seller as possible! Notice if your apartment is on a low floor, or has no views, or gets no sunlight, or is on a very busy/noisy street, or has a floor-through layout, or has low ceilings, or whatever! This is what buyers will be thinking about when they bid. A biased seller will be unable to make rational decisions when it comes to accepting an offer.
Moving on.
FINAL 3-4 WEEKS
Traffic begins to heat up as you already hit your turning point and have succomb to price reductions. It happened for me after 12 weeks on the open market and 11 open houses. A very long time for any nervous seller!
I didnt get a contract signed until the 18th week and 16th open house and for lower than what I was offered 16 weeks ago!Your price comes down and activity picks up. Wow. I can't believe it. It's amazing how this works. Why didn't I think of this earlier? Why didn't I respect what my broker originally told me 15 weeks ago about where to price my unit? Why was I so blind?
BECAUSE YOU ARE HUMAN. BECAUSE ITS YOUR HOME. BECAUSE ITS HARD TO SELL ANYTHING THAT HAS EMOTIONAL TIES, MEMORIES, GOOD TIMES & BAD.
But you must not be clouded in your financial decisions. You must be able to recognize when to move on an offer. You must be able to realize that a highly qualified buyer may NOT be so easy to find!
This post was based entirely on the notion of hindsight and what I have noticed AFTER looking back at my clients and my own exclusive listings, to see if there were any patterns. There were. If anything should be gained from this post it's that you must have the vision and the will to accept a reasonable offer if:
1. It comes very early and from a qualified buyer
2. Is reasonable in the sense that you were going to price your apartment at 750K but decided last minute to raise that to 800K. Now you get a 700K offer in first 2 weeks.
3. You are under time pressure to sell
Don't Be Stupid. Don't Be Greedy. Don't Mess Up In Here!



Comments (10)
This article articulates why i find this blog so compelling:
1) You use your own life lessons as experience points for the rest of us, and don't shirk away from detailing the financial loss you took (honest and open)
2) In revealing what happened with your situation, you then sumise handy hints not only for sellers, but for buyers too, through the painting of the sales transaction process, which gives buyers an insight into the emotive rollercoaster ride from "the other side of the fence" (practical and insightful)
3) You throw in a quote from Joe Pesci to illustrate your point for good measure.
In the words of Ace "DeNiro" Rothestein from the same movie:
"In the casino, the cardinal rule is to keep them playing and to keep them coming back. The longer they play, the more they lose, and in the end, we get it all."
If you take his position and apply it to a seller, potentially "gambling" by holding out for the big hit he or she thinks is just around the corner, thinks is what is coming their way, and is a sure fire thing - well,,,,it may just be the buyer who ends up "getting it all" for less than you had otherwise hoped.
Great work Noah, keep it up!
Posted by Dave | October 23, 2006 2:36 PM
love it Dave! Thanks.
Posted by Noah | October 23, 2006 3:37 PM
Great blog - been following for a while and agree with Dave that your own experience abetted by your pro knowledge is what makes the difference
This past Sunday the NYT scorecard had a co-op downtown (65 Nassau St) that listed for 650K and sold 26K higher with multiple bids - sorta strange in this market, until one looked at the time on market - 34 weeks - umm, did seller drop price dramatically (from let's say 750K or so) and the multi-bids resulted from the Fire Sale price - any ideas?
NYT link - http://www.nytimes.com/imagepages/2006/10/20/realestate/22sales_ready.html
Posted by fatbear | October 24, 2006 1:25 PM
FatBear - Yep!
Apt 8B first listed at $750K on 10/25/2005. Lowered to $720K on 1/24/2006, lowered to $685K on 2/24/2006, and lowered again to $650K on 8/11/2006!
Sold for $795/sft eventually! 850 sft..
This many price cuts obviously winded up underpricing the unit, getting a ton of activity, and a bidding war!
Posted by Noah | October 24, 2006 2:20 PM
This author constantly confuses "then" and "than" usage.
Posted by J | March 9, 2007 3:50 PM
J - Not only do I constantly mess up that, but I misspell words, confuse effect with affect sometimes, and other grammar errors.
So what. I have to write very fast to keep up content on this site. Unless you are a blogger and know how time consuming it is, people think this is so easy and takes 10 min to do in addition to your job.
I got a 420 on my English SAT and I suck at grammar and spelling. However, my point should be easy to understand and that is what is important.
Posted by Noah | March 9, 2007 6:52 PM
GREAT BLOG ... GREAT ARTLICLE. One of my clients here in SoCal referred me to your site... I LOVE your philosophy and message. Keep it up. Hopefully I can refer you customers and clients in the future.
Your Colleague,
George Fotion
Call Realty Company
433 Via Corta
Palos Verdes Estates, CA 90274
310.346.6467
www.homeispalosverdes.com
Posted by George Fotion | October 29, 2007 8:44 PM
Really nice information and great tips i must see them just after my exams,i must say that you have done a great job i will come back again to read you more.
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