A Rent-Hike Induced Housing Surge?
A: Why not? A Cooling Housing Market + Rising Rents & Lower Vacancy Rates could put buying back in favor again down the road (not just yet because interest rates still have some room to rise)! Something to think about when crunching the numbers. While I still believe we have some softness in the housing sector ahead of us, I can't help but notice that if rents keep rising like they have been than the disparity between the cost of renting vs. buying will narrow!
The rental market in Manhattan is certainly favoring landlords rather than tennants right now as the vacancy rate continues to drop and rents continue to rise. Add in a 9-Month Old Housing Slowdown and all of a sudden the difference between the cost of owning (w/ tax benefits) vs. the cost of renting becomes much closer. If this trend continues could this lead to a Rent-Hike induced housing boom in New York City?
Its something that can be argued for Manhattan only, as almost all other markets do not have that rare combination of limited supply of housing plus high demand for housing at the same time. It could also be argued that there are many buyers out there who have been 'priced out' of the New York City housing market for the past 2 years, and are now facing rent hikes as they look to renew. The question now presents itself: Do Renters consider buying now that:
1. They Have Saved For A Few Years & Are In Better Financial Shape
2. Are Faced With Higher Renting Costs & Less Rentals To Choose From
3. Have Experienced A Slowing Housing Market & Gained More Control of the Bidding Process
In a recent NY Mag article the focus is on rent hikes at Peter Cooper Village & Stuyvesant Town. According to Jay Heydt of Citi-Habitats:
Driven by all the bursting-bubble talk, buyers are waiting and renting, says Jay M. Heydt, managing director of Citi Habitats' Union Square office. So "as of January 2006, there's a less than one percent vacancy rate for rentals," he says, adding that there's no tighter market than downtown; putting Peter Cooper Village at the improbable center of a boom. If Eric L. wants to stay put, he'll have to pay 25 percent more: $2,800 a month, non-negotiable. Nor is he alone. The tenants-association Website teems with postings from sticker-shocked renters. "At first [I] thought it must be a mistake!" writes one. "Bon voyage, PCV!" huffs another.
Its just such an interesting topic that I do not understand why it is not covered more in the mass media. I guess there is no personal angle on the idea; no angle, no story. Anyway, thats why we blog!
UrbanDigs Says: If NYC housing continues to soften (which I think it will, without crashing) and NYC rentals continue to get more expensive (which I'm not sure what will stop it), it's hard to ignore a situation where it just makes much more sense to BUY rather than RENT! If you have been priced out of the NYC market for the past year, KEEP YOUR EYES OPEN and continue to save your money and get your credit score as close to perfect as possible and put yourself in good financial shape so that you can take advantage of a deal when it presents itself. Trust me, it will!
Comments (1)
I think another reason fees are not being paid and free months not offered is that prices have come down. Apartments are moving but part of the reason is that prices came down to a point at which they will move.
Posted by Mbt | June 3, 2010 2:15 AM