South Bronx? Barbara Corcoran Says Buy!

Posted by urbandigs

Thu Jan 12th, 2006 09:53 AM

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A: Real Estate mogul and "Good Morning America" contributor Barbara Corcoran listed the South Bronx as the top place to put your investment dollars in her rankings of 5 'ripe' locations for growth.

I love it! Not only do I have the utmost respect for Barbara Corcoran and what she accomplished decades ago to make her real estate company a household name in Manhattan, but I also think she has one of the best 'noses' for smelling out future growth areas.

According to an ABC News Original Report, Corcoran goes on to say:

South Bronx, N.Y. Average home: $380,000

What makes it great: The South Bronx is the last housing frontier close to New York City. It lost 57 percent of its population in the 1970s; now people are coming back. Public money is flowing in, and developers are really starting to lay their bets. Most importantly, it's attracting creative energy (artists and musicians are moving there) which can really revitalize an area.

What you can learn: Here are three tips from the South Bronx that apply to any depressed area. One, track the number of classified ads selling property each week. They should double every month. Second, assess an area at night. A night life (like clubs and cafes) is a good sign that a neighborhood is on the rise. Third, look for the price of a cup of coffee to rise. Up-and-coming neighborhoods draw expensive coffee sellers.


I especially like how she analyzes the rising price of a cup of coffee as executives at Starbucks and Dunkin Donuts do their homework to decide where to open new branches in high growth neighborhoods.

Of particular note is "...developers are really starting to lay their bets". While I haven't investigated this myself Im willing to bet that Corcoran has analyzed the public records at the attorney general's office that lists filings for building permits by developers. Usually the paperwork process that developers have to go through before being allowed to build takes years. Savvy brokers are hip to neighborhoods where developers have filed for future new buildings, both for their own real estate investing and for their clients. It seems the South Bronx has some nice action in the works that would spur development over the coming years. If you take Corcoran's advice, you'll get in early!

Personally, I think South Bronx still has some time. If you did buy now, it will probably take a good 7-10 years for you to realize appreciation gains that the 'kings of real estate' are used to when getting into a new area. Just dont expect a quick fix. If you want a neighborhood that is a bit more stable as a potential future growth area, look into Harlem.

Some of the historic districts in Harlem, such as Strivers Row and Mount Morris Park, can offer some great values if the seller gets frustrated and can't get rid of a property here. Some of these tree lined streets are beautiful and the area itself is in the midst of a radical transformation. With Columbia University's campus on 116th & Broadway and its medical center on 168th & Broadway, students and faculty are always looking for rental units closeby.

A typical townhouse in Harlem usually goes for between 1.0-1.75M, depending on the size, location and condition. This townhouse, marketed and IN CONTRACT by Douglas Elliman's 'Harlem King' Todd Stevens is a 20-footer and was priced at 1.575M:

155 West 119th Street

A typical 2BR condo in a Townhouse goes for about $600K, such as this one listed by the same broker:

132 West 123rd Street

You must analyze your strategy when deciding where to put your money. If you are sure you are buying real estate and want a medium risk/high reward property, then stick with Corcoran and look into the South Bronx. However, if you want to play it safer and want a lower risk/medium reward property, then look into Harlem!


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